Craft a Solid Government Shutdown Contingency Plan NOW

If your nonprofit or its beneficiaries rely on federal government funding, you need to be preparing for a government shutdown. Yes, a few weeks ago, Congress passed and President Biden signed a stop-gap measure to temporarily keep the government running.

Ted Bilich

If your nonprofit or its beneficiaries rely on federal government funding, you need to be preparing for a government shutdown. Yes, a few weeks ago, Congress passed and President Biden signed a stop-gap measure to temporarily keep the government running. But that’s cold comfort: Congress ousted Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House, and Republicans struggled mightily before appointing Mike Johnson as the new Speaker. While Speaker Johnson can now move legislation forward, deep divisions between Republicans and Democrats over a host of issues could still derail efforts to fund the federal government. As a result, you need to perform contingency planning right now.

The Impact of Government Shutdowns on Nonprofits

Government shutdowns can significantly impact nonprofits, especially those that rely on federal grants or contracts for their funding. During a shutdown, these funding sources may be delayed or cancelled, leading to potential financial instability.

Furthermore, even if your nonprofit does not itself rely on federal funding, government shutdowns may result in increased demand for your services, particularly if those services supplement or replace those typically provided by the government. For instance, nonprofits providing food assistance or housing support may see a surge in demand during a shutdown.

Why a Contingency Plan is Necessary

Given the potential impacts of a government shutdown, it’s crucial for your nonprofit to have a contingency plan in place. This plan should outline how your organization will respond to a shutdown, including strategies for managing financial risks, operational adjustments, and communication efforts.

A well-crafted contingency plan can help your nonprofit navigate the challenges of a government shutdown, ensuring that you can continue to serve your community effectively. In fact, the process of creating a contingency plan can also be an opportunity to identify potential areas of vulnerability in your organization and develop strategies to address them.

To prepare a government shutdown contingency plan for your nonprofit, take the following four steps:

(1) Tease Out Vulnerabilities and Scenarios

Creating government shutdown contingency plans is a three-step process: identifying your nonprofit’s vulnerabilities (including lessons from past shutdowns), mapping out potential scenarios, and taking responses based on that analysis. This process will help you anticipate the challenges a shutdown may pose and prepare effective strategies to navigate these uncertainties.

Identify Your Nonprofit’s Vulnerabilities

The first part of crafting a solid contingency plan involves identifying your nonprofit’s vulnerabilities to a government shutdown. This step requires a thorough understanding of your organization’s operational, financial, and service delivery dependencies on government funding.

Here are a few areas to examine:

1. Funding: Identify the percentage of your budget that relies on government grants and contracts. If a significant portion of your funding comes from these sources, a government shutdown could severely disrupt your organization’s financial health.

2. Services: Evaluate how many of your services are directly tied to government-funded programs. A shutdown could mean these services need to be temporarily suspended, affecting those you serve. Also consider whether your beneficiaries rely on federal funds and whether they will increase demand for your services if those funds are cut off.

3. Operations: Assess how dependent your day-to-day operations are on government resources. This could include everything from rented spaces in government buildings to federally funded staff positions.

Learn from Past Shutdowns

Past government shutdowns can offer valuable lessons for your nonprofit. Take the time to study how previous shutdowns unfolded, how they impacted nonprofits like yours, and what strategies were effective in mitigating the effects.

Additionally, assess how your own organization has responded to past shutdowns. Identify what worked well and what areas need improvement. This retrospective analysis can be instrumental in providing a reality check during contingency planning.

Map Out Potential Scenarios

After identifying your vulnerabilities and evaluating past shutdown impacts, the next step is to map out potential scenarios that could unfold during a government shutdown. This involves envisioning different situations based on the duration of the shutdown, the severity of its impact, and the responses available to your organization.

Here are a few scenarios to consider:

1. Short-term Shutdown: As of November 18, the federal government is shut down and federal agencies must cease all non-essential functions until Congress acts. It is confidently expected, however, that Congress will begin funding the government again by Thanksgiving.

2. Long-term Shutdown: As of November 18, the federal government is shut down and federal agencies must cease all non-essential functions until Congress acts. It is confidently expected, however, that Congress will begin funding the government again by January 1, 2024.

3. Indeterminate Shutdown: As of November 18, the federal government is shut down and federal agencies must cease all non-essential functions until Congress acts. Because of political divisions, it cannot be confidently predicted when Congress will begin funding the government again.

For each scenario, ask three questions: (1) how likely is this scenario? (2) If this scenario occurs, what would we like to be in position to do on or before November 18? (3) Given your assessments from (1) and (2), what should your organization do now to be prepared for reasonable possibilities?

(2) Draft Key Elements of a Government Shutdown Contingency Plan

Effective government shutdown contingency plans involve several critical elements. These plans should incorporate strategies for financial planning, operational adjustments, and communication. Each element plays a crucial role in ensuring that your nonprofit can weather the storm of a government shutdown with minimal disruption. Based on your vulnerabilities and your scenario planning, consider three areas.

Financial Planning

A government shutdown can have significant financial implications for your nonprofit, especially if you rely heavily on government grants. Therefore, it’s essential to have a solid financial plan in place.

This plan should include a detailed budget forecast that takes into account the potential loss of funding during a shutdown. You should also have a plan for diversifying your income sources to minimize your reliance on government funds. This could involve ramping up fundraising efforts or exploring alternative funding options.

Operational Adjustments

In addition to financial planning, your contingency plan should outline necessary operational adjustments. These adjustments will depend on the specific services your nonprofit provides and how they may be impacted by a government shutdown.

This could involve scaling back certain services, redistributing resources, or even temporarily closing some of your operations. Your plan should outline the steps to be taken under various shutdown scenarios, from a short-term shutdown to a more prolonged one.

Communication Strategy

Finally, your contingency plan should include a robust communication strategy. During a government shutdown, it’s crucial to keep your stakeholders informed about the situation and how your nonprofit is responding.

Your communication strategy should outline who needs to be informed, what information they need, and how you will deliver that information. This could involve sending regular email updates, posting updates on your website, or holding virtual meetings.

Remember, transparency is key during uncertain times. By clearly communicating your plans and actions, you can help to alleviate concerns and maintain trust among your stakeholders.

By addressing these three key elements in your contingency planning, you will be well-prepared to navigate the challenges posed by a government shutdown. Remember, preparation is the best defense against uncertainty.

(3) Test Your Contingency Plan

Having a well-structured plan is essential, but you should also test your plan. This process involves two critical steps: preparing your team and running simulations.

Prepare Your Team

The first step towards successful testing is to ensure that everyone on your team understands the contingency plan. It’s not enough for only the top management to be aware; every impacted team member must be informed and prepared.

Start by explaining the impact of a government shutdown on your organization and the need for a contingency plan. Then, detail the specific roles and responsibilities each team member will have during a shutdown and seek team input on how to respond. This will keep everyone on the same page but ensure a coordinated response if the time comes.

Run Simulations

Once your team is adequately informed, the next step is to conduct simulations. This involves creating a hypothetical scenario of a government shutdown and practicing your response.

Simulations are an effective way to identify potential gaps or weaknesses in your contingency plan. They can help you understand how your team would respond in a real-life situation and provide valuable insights for improving your plan. You can download a simple guide to performing a table-top simulation here.

Remember, the goal of these simulations isn’t to cause panic, but to prepare your team for a potential shutdown and tease out any potential problems with your plan. By practicing responses, your team will be better equipped to handle the real thing, should it occur.

Testing your contingency plan effectively can significantly reduce the impact of a government shutdown on your nonprofit. It allows you to ensure continuity of services and maintain the trust of your stakeholders during uncertain times.

(4) Reassess and Revise

An optimal approach to managing the risks associated with government shutdowns involves not just crafting solid government shutdown contingency plans, but also ensuring their continual assessment and revision. This process involves monitoring shutdown developments, updating your plan as necessary, and learning from past shutdowns.

Monitor Shutdown Developments

Keeping abreast of political developments is crucial in the face of a potential government shutdown. Constant changes in the legislative landscape might impact your nonprofit organization in a variety of ways. Being well-informed allows you to adapt your contingency plan in response to these changes.

Make it a point to regularly check relevant news sources and official government websites that provide updates on government operations. You might also consider subscribing to newsletters or following social media accounts that offer in-depth analysis on the current political climate.

Update Your Plan as Necessary

Your contingency plan should not be a static document. Instead, it should evolve as your organization’s needs change and as new information becomes available. Regular reviews of your plan will ensure that it remains relevant and effective.

Consider scheduling periodic reviews, perhaps quarterly or semi-annually, to assess and update your plan. These review sessions can provide an opportunity to revisit your organizational vulnerabilities and potential scenarios, and make necessary adjustments in your financial planning, operational adjustments, and communication strategy.

During these reviews, it’s important to ask: Are the proposed strategies working? Are there new threats or opportunities to consider? Is there a need to reallocate resources or revise objectives? Based on the answers, you can make the necessary updates to your plan.

In conclusion, crafting government shutdown contingency plans is only the first step. Ensuring their ongoing assessment and revision will truly keep your nonprofit resilient in the face of government shutdowns.